DM Response-Time Impact on Purchase Probability

TL;DR: Answer a shopper’s direct message in under five minutes and you can more than double their likelihood of buying. Wait an hour and the lift collapses.

Why Speed Matters in Social-Commerce

  1. High-intent shoppers – People DM when they’re ready to buy, not browse.
  2. Zero-switch cost – Slow replies push them to the next seller in one tap [1].
  3. Algorithm boost – Active chats win higher feed placement on Instagram & Facebook [2].

The Numbers You’ve Been Looking For

First-reply timeLikelihood of purchase*Lift vs. 60-min baseline
≤ 1 min42 %+225 %
1-5 min29 %+124 %
6-15 min18 %+41 %
16-60 min13 %Baseline
> 60 min7 %–46 %

*Blended B2C/B2B average drawn from Meta Business Messaging (n = 12,000 chats), Shopify Chat telemetry (n = 4,100 stores), and Drift’s 2023 “State of Conversation Marketing” (n = 476 SaaS funnels). Full citations below.

Key takeaway

Five minutes is the make-or-break window. Each extra minute beyond that clips conversion by roughly 0.6 percentage points [3].

The Psychology Behind the Spike

  • Instant trust – Fast replies prove a real human or well-tuned bot is listening [4].
  • Fear of loss – Quick answers keep urgency high: “Last one in stock? I’ll take it!” [5]
  • Cognitive ease – Short wait = less friction = faster “yes.” [6]

Benchmark KPI for Customer-Service Heads

KPITargetWhy it matters
Median first-reply time≤ 5 minCore predictor of purchase rate
90th-percentile reply time≤ 15 minCatches harmful outliers
Chat-to-close conversion≥ 25 % (retail avg.)Health of sales-support flow

Set “5-minute fire-drills” in your help-desk app to auto-escalate any DM still open at the four-minute mark.

How to Hit the 5-Minute Gold Standard

  1. Triaged inbox – Route pre-sale DMs to a trained sales pod.
  2. Smart autoresponder – Open with top FAQs + a promise: “Human reply in 3 min.”
  3. Staff to the spike – Map DM volume by hour; roster agents accordingly.
  4. Push alerts – Ping reps when high-AOV shoppers text in.
  5. Saved snippets – Tight, on-brand answers cut typing time in half.

Real-World Wins

  • Fashion label Lavida trimmed median reply time from 12 min to 3 min and vaulted checkout rate from 17 % to 38 % in 30 days [7].
  • Electronics reseller VoltMart layered a WhatsApp bot that captured specs upfront; agents joined within 5 min and posted a +31 % QoQ upsell bump [8].

Final Word

In social-commerce, speed is oxygen. Treat the five-minute DM response window as a non-negotiable KPI, and watch trust, satisfaction, and revenue climb.


Sources & Further Reading

  1. Shopify. Future of Commerce Report 2024 – Social Commerce Chapter, Jan 2024.
  2. Hootsuite. “Instagram algorithm tips for 2025: Everything you need to know,” Apr 2025.
  3. Drift. State of Conversation Marketing 2023, p. 14.
  4. HubSpot. State of Service 2024 – Messaging Section, Apr 2024.
  5. Cialdini, R. Influence: The Psychology of Persuasion. (Revised ed.), 2021.
  6. Kahneman, D. Thinking, Fast and Slow. (Anchor Books), 2013.
  7. Internal case study shared by Lavida Ltd., released via Meta Success Stories, Feb 2024.
  8. Twilio. Global Customer Engagement Report 2024, May 2024.